Crisis in Exports: The Manufacturing Sector of Germany is Fading out
Energy Costs and Industry Competitiveness
Continuing Cost Pressure: Industrial production remains ~10 percent below pre-COVID levels, and the massive above-average energy costs which are a non-contentious subject eroded price competitiveness factors. Expert analysis
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Weak Global Demand and Trade Fragmentation
Downturn in Exports: In 2024, Germany's exports will slip by 1 percent as against the previous year, and demand is parched in its major markets like China (-12 percent) and Europe (-16 percent).
Polemological Tensions: Export-reliant sectors such as automotive are threatened by possible overproduction of trade conflict (for example, potential U.S. tariffs erratically held under Trump) in China. Latest trends
Passenger Car Market Crisis
Emerging Chinese Competition: German auto manufacturers could further lose domestic market share for their vehicles to low-cost.
Chinese electric vehicles (EV), as EU exports of German EVs relate heavily to supply chains tied to China.
Regulatory ambiguities: They throw up roadblocks to long-term planning, as targets for emissions in the EU and potential retaliatory tariffs cloud the horizon. Industry insights
Structural Shifts and Slow Innovation
Intangibles Adopted Slowly: Germany seemed to be behind the pack in terms of R&D in services compared to other countries (e.g., Tesla against Volkswagen, per vehicle). Critical update
Labor Shortages: Gaps in skilled worker availability would seriously hinder productivity improvements, most especially for high technology manufacturing.
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Bureaucratic and Policy Problems
Regulation Costs: Companies spend 1–3% of turnover on compliance (e.g., Supply Chain Act), pointers to money unavailable for investment. Get the facts
Delayed Reforms: Post-election political insecurity causes delays in progress in infrastructure and energy transition policy.
Sector-specific Vulnerabilities
Machine tools :Production expected to decline 10 percent in 2025 due to order deterioration by overreliance on stagnant EU markets and order influx depreciating by 22 percent compared to last year. Dig deeper
Chemical Industry: Gas-integrated production decreased considerably, ranging metal power groups with the decrease.


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