Crisis in Exports: The Manufacturing Sector of Germany is Fading out

Mariyam Mim
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Crisis in Exports: The Manufacturing Sector of Germany is Fading Out

Crisis in Exports: The Manufacturing Sector of Germany is Fading out  


Energy Costs and Industry Competitiveness  

High Energy Prices: Energy prices that went very high post-2021 hit Germany's gas-intensive industries (like chemicals), where gas is a larger element of production costs than in other Eurozone countries.  

Continuing Cost Pressure: Industrial production remains ~10 percent below pre-COVID levels, and the massive above-average energy costs which are a non-contentious subject eroded price competitiveness factors.  Expert analysis


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Weak Global Demand and Trade Fragmentation  

Downturn in Exports: In 2024, Germany's exports will slip by 1 percent as against the previous year, and demand is parched in its major markets like China (-12 percent) and Europe (-16 percent).  

Polemological Tensions: Export-reliant sectors such as automotive are threatened by possible overproduction of trade conflict (for example, potential U.S. tariffs erratically held under Trump) in China.  Latest trends


Passenger Car Market Crisis  

Emerging Chinese Competition: German auto manufacturers could further lose domestic market share for their vehicles to low-cost.

Chinese electric vehicles (EV), as EU exports of German EVs relate heavily to supply chains tied to China.  

Regulatory ambiguities: They throw up roadblocks to long-term planning, as targets for emissions in the EU and potential retaliatory tariffs cloud the horizon.  Industry insights


Structural Shifts and Slow Innovation  

Intangibles Adopted Slowly: Germany seemed to be behind the pack in terms of R&D in services compared to other countries (e.g., Tesla against Volkswagen, per vehicle).  Critical update

Labor Shortages: Gaps in skilled worker availability would seriously hinder productivity improvements, most especially for high technology manufacturing.  


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Bureaucratic and Policy Problems  

Regulation Costs: Companies spend 1–3% of turnover on compliance (e.g., Supply Chain Act), pointers to money unavailable for investment.  Get the facts

Delayed Reforms: Post-election political insecurity causes delays in progress in infrastructure and energy transition policy.  


Sector-specific Vulnerabilities

Machine tools :Production expected to decline 10 percent in 2025 due to order deterioration by overreliance on stagnant EU markets and order influx depreciating by 22 percent compared to last year.  Dig deeper 

Chemical Industry: Gas-integrated production decreased considerably, ranging metal power groups with the decrease.


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